The End of Capitalism (and Marxism)August 1, 2022
In 2017, we predicted that Masayoshi Son would be the last capitalist . This is because our model predicted a global economic crisis sparking in 2018, which would then create a global stagflation by 2019 .
The crisis turned out to be Covid and the Russia-Ukraine war which caused the current global stagflation in 2022.
Though the stagflation is a few years late, it nevertheless gives us a chance to deploy our solution step by step, starting in 2022. The solution manifests as a Points-based system that is specifically built for severe inflation and stagnation.
Money is the Root of All Evil
Moral philosophies from all countries unanimously agree that money is the root of all evil. However, none of them are able to explain why.
We explain that this is because money is a finite, exact, number or quantity. Value, however, is naturally infinite, non-exact, and is more of a quality.
- Money is close-ended
- Life itself is open-ended
A system that focuses on money will close out the infinite, subjective nature of life. This leads to a system that goes against nature, manifesting as suffering via crashes, poverty, inequality, recessions, stagflation, etc.
Imagine a mother charging a money-price to her children for every dinner that she cooks for them, putting them under a precise money-debt which gathers interest the longer they do not repay her. Such a mother would be regarded as cruel.
In reality, her cooking was sourced from her love for them, just as they are expected to love her back in non-exact or non-quantifiable ways. The imposition of an objective money-payment naturally kills that subjective feeling of love.
More commonly, this is similar to attending a live concert and watching it through your smartphone that you use to record the concert. The smartphone objectifies the event into a video file that you can watch later. Yet it also limits you from experiencing the concert in full.
The natural way is to either watch the concert:
- at the venue without the smartphone, or
- outside of the venue via a smartphone or video streaming.
Likewise, a familty can eat dinner:
- without using any money by cooking it themselves and serving it to each other, using family-relatonship bound by family morals, or
- by using money by going to a restaurant, using customer-seller-relationship bound by commercial morals
The current economic system only uses money, and commercial morals, and fails without it. Our points-based system frees up an economy by allowing a second, lower-cost mode, using more of the family-friends-morals instead of buyer-seller-morals.
Points Quantify Effort
Unlike money which quantifies utility, our points system quantifies the effort put by the producer, according to the viewpoint of both the producer and the buyer.
- Utility is the effect
- Effort is the cause
Our science thus focuses on the cause. This is different from Modern Economics which focuses on the effect.
In our family-dinner example, the points can be assigned by the children as follows:
The changing points then plot the changing quality or quantity of the meals and serve as a record of actual meal-events. The mother can then fairly demand from her children to excel in their own tasks, such as in their chores or in grades in school, in exchange for the benefits that they get from her.
Since the points are quantification of past events, their values do not inflate over time. The system also requires its members to be tightly-knit, having common interest.
An economic system based on points is therefore inflation-resistant and far less volatile than a money-based system. It also creates a tighter, more integrated, and responsive local economy that is organized into hubs and spokes. In our dinner example, the mother is the hub and the children are her spokes.
The money system, on the contrary, is arbitrary, disorganized, and fragmented since it relies on selfish-interest instead of the common-interest. These qualities cause prices to rise and fall wildly, with economic damage spreading uncontrollably. This is beneficial for speculators who buy and sell things to take advantage of price movements, following the maxim of ‘buy low, sell high’.
The Balance Sheet in a Capitalist System
Captialists use this maxim on equity by buying or investing in cheap stocks or startups, and then selling them when they become expensive.
This equity is recorded as part of liabilities:
|Property, Plant, Equipment||Stockholder’s Equity|
The Balance Sheet in a Points-based System
Under a points-based system, equity and long-term debt are converted into points.
Money is retained only as petty cash for facilitating immediate payments. Adam Smith calls this as ‘ready money’.
This leads to a new kind of balance sheet:
|Cash||Money Loans Payable|
|Points-Receivables||Short-term Points Payable|
|Property, Plant, Equipment||Long-term Points Payable|
In the beginning, a company will have very few points-receivables and points-payables. But as the new system catches on, and the cost savings become evident, a balance sheet will have more points values until money becomes a smaller part of company and every local economy.
The use of debt and elimination of equity is evident in:
- The Wealth of Nations where Adam Smith bashes the equity system and advocates the use of loans to serve as capital to build a factory
- Socrates being in debt even up to his last breath
When the poison reaches the heart, that will be the end. Crito, I owe a cock to Asclepius. Will you remember to pay the debt?Phaedo Simplified, Chapter 10
What Will Investors Put their Money In?
If equity will no longer be a thing, then what will rich people do with their money?
For example, an Arab sheik has 100 million dollars and personally knows very few worthy entrepreneurs. How can he use his money so that it preserves their value, at least?
The cash saved by the points-system will be used to grow the global economy. Remember that the points-economy works best for tightly-integrated economies such as a small town or a district of a large city.
Points-banking can then connect these local economies with each other, such as City A with City B.
However, points-banking cannot connect Country A to Country B which might have very different laws on imports-exports and taxation.
In this case, the money system is better suited. For example, the US dollar is designed for cross-border transactions:
- prices are denoted in US dollars
- banks are able to accept local currency for conversion to US dollars for world trade
To import a product, local currency is used to buy US dollars which is then sent to the exporter. Points-banking saves a lot of local currency, and so imports will increase as a consequence.
The problem is that, in the current world trade system, this will create a balance of trade deficit which will then cause a devaluation of the local currency. This then will negate the advantages of the Points system – solving a bad stagnation just to create a bad devaluation.
How can such a trade gap be solved?
Pool Clearing to the Rescue
The economist EF Schumacher thought about this in the 1940’s and proposed a Pool Clearing system as a solution.
Instead of world trade being done in an unregulated way all in US dollars, each country joins the global pool which mandates them to set up a National Clearing Fund.
This fund will be used to:
- accept local currency payments for imports
- disburse local currency to exporters
The Clearing Funds eliminate the need for cross-border money transactions – money no longer leaves any country. This will make currency speculation and currency crises obsolete. It will also help deficient and stagnating countries like Sri Lanka to get out of crisis by letting them export their way out of their quagmire.
Each country’s Clearing Fund will be subdivided into different industries, with subdivisions, such as:
- Agriculture Fund
- Fisheries Fund
- Rice Fund
- Livestock and Dairy Fund
- Education Fund
- Advanced Research Fund
- Tourism Fund
- Cultural Exchange Fund
- Manufacturing Fund
- Electronics Fund
- Heavy Machinery Fund
- Precision Equipment Fund
Investors, such as the Arab sheik, can then park their money in a fund that they like, in a country that they like. If a country can define 1 million industries, then each can have its own fund. The sheik can then have 1 million investment options.
There is still a gaming element since not all funds will succeed equally. Yet not all funds will fail unless the country is totally mismanaged. This will allow people to enjoy such a childish pleasure*.
*Not all investors are rich. Some just use their savings in the hopes of striking it rich quickly.
This will allow capital to spread over many industries in many countries and not just into a few blue-chip companies, as is common in the current system.
It will also increase global trade since the Pool-countries will act as a single economic country. The Pool works on common-interest since all members can help each other export their way out of crisis and provide employment via exports and tourism. This makes trade wars and protectionism illogical.
Lastly, it serves as a better alternative to a single currency like the Euro, which has many regulations, and the US Dollar, which is controlled by one country.
Ends Both Capitalism and Marxism Gradually
The points system gradually reduces the importance of equity. This will cause stock-trading and stock-investments to likewise lose importance, dragging Capitalism with it.
With Capitalism reduced, then the need for Marxism also declines, since Marx created it to counteract the evils of capitalists. This will slowly eliminate the Cold War animosity which currenly manifests as AUKUS-EU vs China-Russia.
In a future post, we will explain how Pool Clearing could have been used to unify Hongkong, Taiwan, and China peacefully without the needing to go through the current tensions.